Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000088 0.000097 0.000107 0.000119 0.000131 0.000145 0.000161
2026-02-08 0.000073 0.000085 0.000099 0.000117 0.000137 0.000160 0.000189
2026-02-15 0.000062 0.000077 0.000094 0.000116 0.000143 0.000176 0.000218
2026-02-22 0.000055 0.000071 0.000090 0.000116 0.000150 0.000192 0.000250
2026-03-01 0.000048 0.000065 0.000086 0.000115 0.000154 0.000206 0.000279
2026-03-08 0.000044 0.000061 0.000083 0.000116 0.000161 0.000223 0.000315
2026-03-15 0.000040 0.000057 0.000081 0.000116 0.000167 0.000239 0.000349
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000053 0.000078 0.000115 0.000171 0.000252 0.000381
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000051 0.000077 0.000117 0.000179 0.000272 0.000423
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000049 0.000075 0.000117 0.000183 0.000287 0.000460
2026-04-12 0.000029 0.000046 0.000073 0.000116 0.000187 0.000300 0.000496
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000116 0.000191 0.000314 0.000532
2026-04-26 0.000025 0.000042 0.000069 0.000116 0.000196 0.000330 0.000575
2026-05-03 0.000023 0.000040 0.000066 0.000114 0.000198 0.000341 0.000611
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000038 0.000064 0.000113 0.000201 0.000356 0.000653
2026-05-17 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000113 0.000206 0.000373 0.000702
2026-05-24 0.000019 0.000034 0.000061 0.000112 0.000208 0.000385 0.000743
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000113 0.000215 0.000406 0.000802
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000113 0.000219 0.000424 0.000857
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000031 0.000058 0.000112 0.000222 0.000438 0.000905
2026-06-21 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000114 0.000230 0.000463 0.000979
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000114 0.000235 0.000481 0.001040
2026-07-05 0.000014 0.000028 0.000055 0.000114 0.000238 0.000497 0.001097